Value bet: Baltika to win @ 1.76 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBaltika to win ✓65% · @1.76
Double chanceBaltika or draw ✓86% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.65
Baltika vs Akron: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baltika welcome Akron to Rostec Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 1 November (15:30 WAT). In the table, Baltika are 9th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Akron are 14th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Zenit, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Akron, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to FC Rostov, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended Akron 0–1 Baltika. The last 2 head-to-heads: Baltika 1 win, Akron 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.9 xG, Akron 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 65%, draw 22%, Akron 14%.
Lower-risk option: Baltika or draw (86%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.99.
Price worth noting: Baltika to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–0 Akron. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika65%fair 1.55 · @1.76
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.70
Akron14%fair 7.31 · @4.95
2.56Expected goals
1.85Baltika xG
0.71Akron xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.9 – 0.7 Akron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Baltika vs Akron?
On our numbers Baltika have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Akron 14%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Akron?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Akron?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–0 Akron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Akron?
Baltika vs Akron (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
