Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
2
Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓62% · @1.77
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓87% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv welcome Spartak Moscow to RZD Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 1 November (17:45 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Spartak Moscow are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotiv, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CSKA Moscow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Spartak Moscow, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rubin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Lokomotiv.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 2–0 Spartak Moscow. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv 1 win, Spartak Moscow 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 0.8 xG, Spartak Moscow 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 13%, draw 24%, Spartak Moscow 62%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (87%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.61.
Price worth noting: Spartak Moscow to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spartak Moscow or draw (87%, odds 1.24 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 0–1 Spartak Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv13%fair 7.56 · @4.35
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @4.05
Spartak Moscow62%fair 1.60 · @1.77
2.80Expected goals
0.83Lokomotiv xG
1.97Spartak Moscow xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 0.8 – 2.0 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spartak Moscow 62%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 0–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
