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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rodina Moskva v FC Krasnodar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Arena Khimki
2–1
FT
Rodina Moskva 22%Draw 19%FC Krasnodar 59% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.98
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.52Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗59% · @1.71
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rodina Moskva welcome FC Krasnodar to Arena Khimki for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 31 October (17:45 WAT). In the table, Rodina Moskva are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; FC Krasnodar are 4th (among the top four) with 26. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rodina Moskva, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Orenburg, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

FC Krasnodar, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dynamo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 1.1 xG, FC Krasnodar 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 22%, draw 19%, FC Krasnodar 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.52). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rodina Moskva22%fair 4.56 · @4.65
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.15
FC Krasnodar59%fair 1.70 · @1.71
3.09Expected goals
1.11Rodina Moskva xG
1.98FC Krasnodar xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.1 – 2.0 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Krasnodar to win ✗59%1.701.71
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.57
Draw no betFC Krasnodar (draw no bet) ✗73%1.37–
Asian handicapRodina Moskva +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.631.52
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.18
First team to scoreFC Krasnodar to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultFC Krasnodar ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Rodina Moskva – last 6

LWDLLL
28 Oct@ FC Orenburg1–2L
24 Oct@ Fakel1–0W
19 Octvs FC Orenburg2–2D
15 Octvs Spartak Moscow2–4L
11 Oct@ CSKA Moscow0–3L
4 Oct@ Dynamo2–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Krasnodar – last 6

WDDLLD
27 Octvs Dynamo2–1W
24 Octvs Baltika1–1D
17 Oct@ Lokomotiv3–3D
13 Octvs Fakel0–2L
10 Octvs Zenit2–3L
17 Sep@ FC Orenburg0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and FC Krasnodar.

Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.

Who will win Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar?

On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Krasnodar 59%.

How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar?

Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar?

Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.