Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Fakel to win @ 4.15 – our chance 30% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRubin to win ✓47% · @2.01
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Rubin vs Fakel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the Premier League brings Rubin against Fakel at Ak Bars Arena. Kick-off: 13:15 WAT. In the table, Rubin are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Fakel are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rubin, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spartak Moscow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Fakel, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Akhmat, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fakel, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Rubin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rubin 1.4 xG, Fakel 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rubin 47%, draw 23%, Fakel 30%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.04.
Price worth noting: Fakel to win @4.15 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubin 1–1 Fakel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rubin47%fair 2.11 · @2.01
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Fakel30%fair 3.37 · @4.15
2.36Expected goals
1.36Rubin xG
1.00Fakel xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Rubin 1.4 – 1.0 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rubin to win✓
47%
2.11
2.01
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.04 ▲
Draw no bet
Rubin (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Fakel +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.01
First team to score
Rubin to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rubin / FT Rubin✓
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Rubin – last 6
LLLLLD
28 Oct
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Spartak Moscow
0–4
L
15 Oct
vs FC Orenburg
1–4
L
11 Oct
vs Dynamo
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Rodina Moskva
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fakel – last 6
DLWWLW
27 Oct
vs Akhmat
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Rodina Moskva
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
13 Oct
@ FC Krasnodar
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Lokomotiv
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs FC Vitebsk
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubin and Fakel.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Rubin vs Fakel?
On our numbers Rubin have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fakel 30%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is Rubin 1–1 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rubin vs Fakel?
Rubin vs Fakel (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Ak Bars Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
