Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Górnik Łęczna to win @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGórnik Łęczna to win ✗51% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Górnik Łęczna vs Avia Świdnik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the II Liga East brings Górnik Łęczna against Avia Świdnik. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Górnik Łęczna are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Avia Świdnik are 12th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
Górnik Łęczna, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Świt Skolwin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Avia Świdnik, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Olimpia Grudziądz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Avia Świdnik, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Górnik Łęczna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Łęczna 2.5 xG, Avia Świdnik 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Łęczna 51%, draw 24%, Avia Świdnik 25%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Górnik Łęczna to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Łęczna 2–1 Avia Świdnik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Górnik Łęczna51%fair 1.94 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.90
Avia Świdnik25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
3.85Expected goals
2.50Górnik Łęczna xG
1.35Avia Świdnik xG
64%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Górnik Łęczna 2.5 – 1.4 Avia Świdnik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Górnik Łęczna
Avia Świdnik
Attack vs II Liga East average
+41%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
-6%
Our expected goals here
2.20
0.79
Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Górnik Łęczna to win✗
51%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Górnik Łęczna (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Górnik Łęczna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
First team to score
Górnik Łęczna to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Górnik Łęczna ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Górnik Łęczna / FT Górnik Łęczna✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Górnik Łęczna – last 6
WWLLLL
25 Jul
@ Świt Skolwin
3–2
W
11 Jul
vs Chełmianka Chełm
4–1
W
8 Jul
vs Hetman Zamosc
0–1
L
4 Jul
@ Stal Rzeszów
2–4
L
20 Jun
vs Dinamo Bucuresti
1–2
L
24 May
@ ŁKS Łódź
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Avia Świdnik – last 6
WDWWDD
26 Jul
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
4–1
W
11 Jul
@ Stal Stalowa Wola
2–2
D
30 May
@ Czarni Połaniec
3–2
W
23 May
vs Wisłoka Dębica
4–0
W
13 May
@ Star Starachowice
1–1
D
1 May
@ Sokół Kolb.
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Łęczna and Avia Świdnik.
What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna vs Avia Świdnik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Avia Świdnik?
On our numbers Górnik Łęczna have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avia Świdnik 25%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Łęczna vs Avia Świdnik?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Górnik Łęczna vs Avia Świdnik?
Our predicted score is Górnik Łęczna 2–1 Avia Świdnik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Górnik Łęczna vs Avia Świdnik?
Górnik Łęczna vs Avia Świdnik (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
