Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Lechia Zielona Góra to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOlimpia Grudziądz to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Lechia Zielona Góra v Olimpia Grudziądz in the II Liga East, played at MOSiR. In the table, Lechia Zielona Góra are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Olimpia Grudziądz are 10th (lower half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lechia Zielona Góra, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rekord Bielsko-Biała, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Olimpia Grudziądz, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Avia Świdnik, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lechia Zielona Góra 1.6 xG, Olimpia Grudziądz 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lechia Zielona Góra 36%, draw 25%, Olimpia Grudziądz 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Lechia Zielona Góra to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lechia Zielona Góra 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lechia Zielona Góra36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Olimpia Grudziądz39%fair 2.57 · @2.05
3.21Expected goals
1.58Lechia Zielona Góra xG
1.63Olimpia Grudziądz xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Lechia Zielona Góra 1.6 – 1.6 Olimpia Grudziądz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lechia Zielona Góra
Olimpia Grudziądz
Attack vs II Liga East average
+4%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.49
1.50
Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpia Grudziądz to win✗
39%
2.57
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Draw no bet
Olimpia Grudziądz (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Lechia Zielona Góra +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Olimpia Grudziądz to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpia Grudziądz / FT Olimpia Grudziądz✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.83
–
Recent results
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 6
DLWLWW
25 Jul
vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Miedź Legnica II
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Warta Poznań
2–1
W
15 Jul
vs Carina Gubin
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Barycz Sułów
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Miedz Legnica
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Olimpia Grudziądz – last 6
LWWWWL
26 Jul
@ Avia Świdnik
1–4
L
18 Jul
@ Polonia Środa
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Arka Gdynia
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Lechia Gdansk
3–1
W
30 Jun
vs Petrolul Ploiesti
4–1
W
2 Jun
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lechia Zielona Góra and Olimpia Grudziądz.
What is the prediction for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
On our numbers Lechia Zielona Góra have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Olimpia Grudziądz 39%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our predicted score is Lechia Zielona Góra 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at MOSiR.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
