Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Avia Świdnik to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAvia Świdnik to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceAvia Świdnik or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lechia Zielona Góra travel to face Avia Świdnik on Saturday 29 August in the II Liga East – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Avia Świdnik are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Lechia Zielona Góra are 9th (upper half) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Avia Świdnik, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Zawisza Bydgoszcz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lechia Zielona Góra, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hutnik Kraków, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Avia Świdnik, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Lechia Zielona Góra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avia Świdnik 2.4 xG, Lechia Zielona Góra 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avia Świdnik 61%, draw 21%, Lechia Zielona Góra 18%.
Lower-risk option: Avia Świdnik or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Avia Świdnik to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Avia Świdnik or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avia Świdnik 2–1 Lechia Zielona Góra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avia Świdnik61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.25
Lechia Zielona Góra18%fair 5.61 · @3.40
3.60Expected goals
2.36Avia Świdnik xG
1.24Lechia Zielona Góra xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Avia Świdnik 2.4 – 1.2 Lechia Zielona Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avia Świdnik to win✗
61%
1.64
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Avia Świdnik or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Draw no bet
Avia Świdnik (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Avia Świdnik -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
First team to score
Avia Świdnik to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Avia Świdnik ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avia Świdnik / FT Avia Świdnik✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Avia Świdnik – last 6
LLWWWD
22 Aug
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1–4
L
16 Aug
@ Stal Stalowa Wola
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Górnik Łęczna
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
4–1
W
11 Jul
@ Stal Stalowa Wola
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 6
DLWDDL
23 Aug
vs Hutnik Kraków
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Sokół Kleczew
6–1
W
1 Aug
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Miedź Legnica II
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avia Świdnik and Lechia Zielona Góra.
What is the prediction for Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our pick is Avia Świdnik or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
On our numbers Avia Świdnik have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lechia Zielona Góra 18%.
How many goals will there be in Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our predicted score is Avia Świdnik 2–1 Lechia Zielona Góra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
