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Olimpia Grudziądz v Podhale Nowy Targ: numbers & prediction

II Liga East · Poland
Olimpia Grudziądz 58%Draw 26%Podhale Nowy Targ 17% Expected goals 2.27 – 1.23
83%
Betarazi pick

Olimpia Grudziądz or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Olimpia Grudziądz to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOlimpia Grudziądz to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceOlimpia Grudziądz or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the II Liga East brings Olimpia Grudziądz against Podhale Nowy Targ. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Olimpia Grudziądz are 10th, lower half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Podhale Nowy Targ are 8th (upper half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Olimpia Grudziądz, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rekord Bielsko-Biała, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Podhale Nowy Targ, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Resovia Rzeszów, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Podhale Nowy Targ 1–2 Olimpia Grudziądz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia Grudziądz 2.3 xG, Podhale Nowy Targ 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia Grudziądz 58%, draw 26%, Podhale Nowy Targ 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Olimpia Grudziądz or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Olimpia Grudziądz to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Olimpia Grudziądz or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia Grudziądz 2–1 Podhale Nowy Targ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olimpia Grudziądz58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.25
Podhale Nowy Targ17%fair 5.98 · @3.40
3.50Expected goals
2.27Olimpia Grudziądz xG
1.23Podhale Nowy Targ xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Olimpia Grudziądz 2.3 – 1.2 Podhale Nowy Targ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpia Grudziądz to win ✗58%1.731.91 ▲
Double chanceOlimpia Grudziądz or draw ✗83%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.53
Draw no betOlimpia Grudziądz (draw no bet) ✗78%1.29–
Asian handicapOlimpia Grudziądz -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreOlimpia Grudziądz to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultOlimpia Grudziądz ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olimpia Grudziądz / FT Olimpia Grudziądz ✗39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Olimpia Grudziądz – last 6

WWDDDL
23 Aug@ Rekord Bielsko-Biała2–1W
16 Aug@ Znicz Pruszków1–0W
9 Aug@ Tychy 711–1D
5 Augvs Świt Skolwin3–3D
1 Aug@ Lechia Zielona Góra2–2D
26 Jul@ Avia Świdnik1–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6

DLLWDW
22 Augvs Resovia Rzeszów1–1D
14 Aug@ Górnik Łęczna2–5L
8 Augvs Hutnik Kraków2–5L
5 Augvs Chojniczanka Chojnice2–0W
1 Aug@ Sokół Kleczew0–0D
25 Julvs Śląsk Wrocław II3–1W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Podhale Nowy Targ v Olimpia Grudziądz1–2
Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ head-to-head page →

II Liga East table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Znicz Pruszków151032+1233
2Górnik Łęczna15924+1829
3Tychy 7114761+1127
4Chojniczanka Chojnice15735+224
5Zawisza Bydgoszcz14644+622
6Legia Warszawa II15717+522
7Sandecja Nowy Sącz15645+322
8Podhale Nowy Targ15573+222
9Lechia Zielona Góra15645-222
10Olimpia Grudziądz15645-322
11Hutnik Kraków15636+221
12Avia Świdnik15627-420
13Stal Stalowa Wola15618-419
14Rekord Bielsko-Biała15537+118
15Sokół Kleczew15465-918
16Świt Skolwin15348-1313
17Śląsk Wrocław II153111-1110
18Resovia Rzeszów15069-166

More II Liga East predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

Our pick is Olimpia Grudziądz or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

On our numbers Olimpia Grudziądz have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Podhale Nowy Targ 17%.

How many goals will there be in Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

Our predicted score is Olimpia Grudziądz 2–1 Podhale Nowy Targ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Podhale Nowy Targ (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.