Value bet: Austria Lustenau to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGrazer AK to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.10
Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grazer AK welcome Austria Lustenau to Merkur-Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 8 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Grazer AK are 10th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Austria Lustenau are 8th (lower half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Grazer AK, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Lask Linz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Austria Lustenau, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ried, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grazer AK 1.4 xG, Austria Lustenau 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grazer AK 39%, draw 25%, Austria Lustenau 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Austria Lustenau to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grazer AK 1–1 Austria Lustenau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grazer AK39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.40
Austria Lustenau36%fair 2.77 · @3.40
2.77Expected goals
1.38Grazer AK xG
1.40Austria Lustenau xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Grazer AK 1.4 – 1.4 Austria Lustenau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grazer AK to win✓
39%
2.54
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Grazer AK (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Grazer AK +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Austria Lustenau to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austria Lustenau / FT Austria Lustenau✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.10
–
Recent results
Grazer AK – last 6
LWLWLL
31 Jul
@ Lask Linz
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Fach-Donaufeld
4–0
W
18 Jul
vs Dynamo Dresden
0–5
L
11 Jul
vs SV Kapfenberg
1–0
W
7 Jul
vs First Vienna
2–4
L
24 Jun
vs Slovan Bratislava
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Austria Lustenau – last 6
DWLDWL
2 Aug
vs Ried
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Krems Rehberg
1–0
W
16 Jul
@ Nürnberg II
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1–1
D
10 Jul
vs FC Aarau
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ FC Vaduz
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grazer AK and Austria Lustenau.
What is the prediction for Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau?
On our numbers Grazer AK have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Austria Lustenau 36%.
How many goals will there be in Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau?
Our predicted score is Grazer AK 1–1 Austria Lustenau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau?
Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
