TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sturm Graz travel to face TSV Hartberg on Saturday 8 August in the Bundesliga, with Profertil Arena Hartberg the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, TSV Hartberg are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
TSV Hartberg, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Red Bull Salzburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sturm Graz, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fenerbahçe, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give TSV Hartberg 1.2 xG, Sturm Graz 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – TSV Hartberg 28%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 48%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: TSV Hartberg 1–1 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
TSV Hartberg28%fair 3.54 · @4.60
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.75
Sturm Graz48%fair 2.07 · @1.70
2.51Expected goals
1.18TSV Hartberg xG
1.34Sturm Graz xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: TSV Hartberg 1.2 – 1.3 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✓
48%
2.07
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
TSV Hartberg +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.14
First team to score
Sturm Graz to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
TSV Hartberg – last 6
LWLWWD
1 Aug
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Imst
3–1
W
18 Jul
vs Voitsberg
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs First Vienna
2–0
W
8 Jul
vs Zbrojovka Brno
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Ujpest
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz – last 6
LDWWWW
5 Aug
@ Fenerbahçe
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ WSG Wattens
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Heart Of Midlothian
2–0
W
24 Jul
@ Seekirchen
3–0
W
21 Jul
vs Heart Of Midlothian
4–0
W
15 Jul
vs Pogon Szczecin
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSV Hartberg and Sturm Graz.
What is the prediction for TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers TSV Hartberg have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sturm Graz 48%.
How many goals will there be in TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is TSV Hartberg 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Profertil Arena Hartberg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
