Value bet: TSV Hartberg to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTSV Hartberg to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45
TSV Hartberg vs Ried: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ried travel to face TSV Hartberg on Sunday 30 August in the Bundesliga, with Profertil Arena Hartberg the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, TSV Hartberg are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; Ried are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
TSV Hartberg, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SCR Altach, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ried, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Grazer AK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give TSV Hartberg 1.3 xG, Ried 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – TSV Hartberg 39%, draw 22%, Ried 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: TSV Hartberg to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: TSV Hartberg 1–1 Ried. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
TSV Hartberg39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Ried39%fair 2.59 · @2.45
2.50Expected goals
1.25TSV Hartberg xG
1.24Ried xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: TSV Hartberg 1.3 – 1.2 Ried expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSV Hartberg to win✓
39%
2.57
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
TSV Hartberg (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Ried +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
TSV Hartberg to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSV Hartberg / FT TSV Hartberg✓
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.45
–
Recent results
TSV Hartberg – last 6
WLLLWL
22 Aug
@ SCR Altach
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Austria Vienna
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Sturm Graz
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Imst
3–1
W
18 Jul
vs Voitsberg
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ried – last 6
WLLDWL
21 Aug
vs Grazer AK
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Lask Linz
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Rapid Vienna
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Austria Lustenau
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Dornbirn
5–1
W
18 Jul
@ Mlada Boleslav
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSV Hartberg and Ried.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Ried?
On our numbers TSV Hartberg have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ried 39%.
How many goals will there be in TSV Hartberg vs Ried?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSV Hartberg vs Ried?
Our predicted score is TSV Hartberg 1–1 Ried, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is TSV Hartberg vs Ried?
TSV Hartberg vs Ried (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Profertil Arena Hartberg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
