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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rapid Vienna v Sturm Graz: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Austria · Allianz Stadion
3–1
FT
Rapid Vienna 46%Draw 20%Sturm Graz 33% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.30
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultRapid Vienna to win ✓46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rapid Vienna welcome Sturm Graz to Allianz Stadion for a Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 30 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Rapid Vienna are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rapid Vienna, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Heart Of Midlothian, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.

Sturm Graz, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Austria Lustenau, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Rapid Vienna, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Sturm Graz.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Sturm Graz 2–0 Rapid Vienna. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rapid Vienna 0 wins, Sturm Graz 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rapid Vienna 1.6 xG, Sturm Graz 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rapid Vienna 46%, draw 20%, Sturm Graz 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rapid Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rapid Vienna46%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
Sturm Graz33%fair 2.99 · @2.95
2.88Expected goals
1.59Rapid Vienna xG
1.30Sturm Graz xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Rapid Vienna 1.6 – 1.3 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRapid Vienna to win ✓46%2.152.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.48
Draw no betRapid Vienna (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapSturm Graz +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.541.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
First team to scoreRapid Vienna to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rapid Vienna / FT Rapid Vienna ✓26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

Rapid Vienna – last 6

DDWWWW
26 Augvs Heart Of Midlothian1–1D
20 Aug@ Heart Of Midlothian2–2D
16 Augvs Grazer AK8–0W
12 Augvs Paide2–0W
9 Aug@ Ried2–1W
6 Aug@ Paide4–1W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sturm Graz – last 6

DWLWLD
22 Augvs Austria Lustenau1–1D
15 Augvs SCR Altach1–0W
11 Augvs Fenerbahçe0–1L
8 Aug@ TSV Hartberg2–0W
5 Aug@ Fenerbahçe0–2L
1 Aug@ WSG Wattens1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Sturm Graz v Rapid Vienna2–0
5 Apr 2026Rapid Vienna v Sturm Graz0–2
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna121101+3033
2Red Bull Salzburg12930+2430
3Lask Linz12813+1525
4TSV Hartberg12624+420
5Sturm Graz12543+519
6Ried12444-116
7WSG Wattens12345-313
8Austria Lustenau12327-1511
9SCR Altach12318-910
10Grazer AK12246-2010
11Austria Vienna12228-128
12Wolfsberger AC12138-186

More Bundesliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

On our numbers Rapid Vienna have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sturm Graz 33%.

How many goals will there be in Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

Our predicted score is Rapid Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.