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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dungannon Swifts v Linfield: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Stangmore Park
0–1
FT
Dungannon Swifts 20%Draw 24%Linfield 56% Expected goals 0.69 – 1.41
80%
Betarazi pick

Linfield or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Linfield to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLinfield to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Linfield travel to face Dungannon Swifts on Saturday 12 September in the Premiership, with Stangmore Park the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Dungannon Swifts are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Linfield are 1st (leading the league) with 36. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dungannon Swifts, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Limavady United, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Linfield, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Carrick Rangers, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Linfield 3–1 Dungannon Swifts. The last 3 head-to-heads: Dungannon Swifts 0 wins, Linfield 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dungannon Swifts 0.7 xG, Linfield 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dungannon Swifts 20%, draw 24%, Linfield 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: Linfield or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Linfield to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Linfield or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dungannon Swifts 0–1 Linfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dungannon Swifts20%fair 5.09 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
Linfield56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
2.10Expected goals
0.69Dungannon Swifts xG
1.41Linfield xG
55%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–212%
0–012%
1–112%
1–28%
1–08%

From our goals model: Dungannon Swifts 0.7 – 1.4 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLinfield to win ✓56%1.781.91 ▲
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.62
Draw no betLinfield (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapDungannon Swifts +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreLinfield to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Linfield / FT Linfield ✗33%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.91–

Recent results

Dungannon Swifts – last 6

WWWWLW
5 Sep@ Limavady United2–0W
29 Aug@ Cliftonville FC2–0W
22 Augvs Bangor2–0W
15 Aug@ Portadown1–0W
8 Augvs Coleraine FC1–3L
1 Aug@ Moyola Park3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Linfield – last 6

WWWWLW
5 Sepvs Carrick Rangers1–0W
29 Aug@ Limavady United2–0W
21 Augvs Cliftonville FC1–0W
15 Augvs Glentoran2–1W
8 Augvs Ballymena United0–3L
28 Jul@ Dollingstown7–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 May 2026Linfield v Dungannon Swifts3–1
7 Apr 2026Dungannon Swifts v Linfield1–3
17 Feb 2026Dungannon Swifts v Linfield1–4
Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?

Our pick is Linfield or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?

On our numbers Dungannon Swifts have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Linfield 56%.

How many goals will there be in Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?

Our predicted score is Dungannon Swifts 0–1 Linfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stangmore Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.