Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Portadown vs Larne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Premiership brings Portadown against Larne at Shamrock Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Portadown are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 15 matches; Larne are 3rd (among the top four) with 26. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Portadown, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cliftonville FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Larne, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bangor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Larne, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Portadown.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portadown 0.5 xG, Larne 1.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 37%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portadown 9%, draw 22%, Larne 69%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Larne to win (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portadown 0–1 Larne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portadown9%fair 10.75 · @8.50
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.50
Larne69%fair 1.45 · @1.35
2.25Expected goals
0.48Portadown xG
1.77Larne xG
37%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
0–310%
1–19%
1–28%
From our goals model: Portadown 0.5 – 1.8 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Double chance
Larne or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
–
Draw no bet
Larne (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Larne -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Larne to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.36
–
Recent results
Portadown – last 6
LLLLLW
5 Sep
@ Cliftonville FC
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Coleraine FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Crusaders FC
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Dungannon Swifts
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Carrick Rangers
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Kilbarrack United
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Larne – last 6
WWLWDD
8 Sep
vs Bangor
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Glentoran
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Coleraine FC
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Saburtalo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portadown and Larne.
Our pick is Larne to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Portadown vs Larne?
On our numbers Portadown have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Larne 69%.
How many goals will there be in Portadown vs Larne?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portadown vs Larne?
Our predicted score is Portadown 0–1 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Portadown vs Larne?
Portadown vs Larne (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamrock Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
