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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Carrick Rangers v Larne: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Loughview Leisure Arena
2–5
FT

Larne

WWWWL
Carrick Rangers 20%Draw 22%Larne 58% Expected goals 0.66 – 1.42
80%
Betarazi pick

Larne or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLarne to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceLarne or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03

Carrick Rangers vs Larne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Carrick Rangers v Larne in the Premiership, played at Loughview Leisure Arena. In the table, Carrick Rangers are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Larne are 3rd (among the top four) with 26.

Current form

Carrick Rangers, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ballymena United, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Larne, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cliftonville FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Larne, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Carrick Rangers.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Larne 2–3 Carrick Rangers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Carrick Rangers 0.7 xG, Larne 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Carrick Rangers 20%, draw 22%, Larne 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Larne or draw (80%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Larne or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrick Rangers 0–1 Larne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Carrick Rangers20%fair 5.06 · @4.20
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.60
Larne58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
2.08Expected goals
0.66Carrick Rangers xG
1.42Larne xG
55%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%
0–213%
0–012%
1–112%
1–28%
1–08%

From our goals model: Carrick Rangers 0.7 – 1.4 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLarne to win ✓58%1.731.75
Double chanceLarne or draw ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.801.70
Draw no betLarne (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapCarrick Rangers +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗94%1.06–
First team to scoreLarne to score first60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Larne / FT Larne ✓33%3.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.03–

Recent results

Carrick Rangers – last 6

DLLWLW
15 Sep@ Ballymena United1–1D
12 Sepvs Cliftonville FC1–3L
5 Sep@ Linfield0–1L
29 Aug@ Bangor4–0W
22 Augvs Coleraine FC0–2L
15 Aug@ Limavady United2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Larne – last 6

WWWWLW
15 Sepvs Cliftonville FC2–0W
12 Sep@ Portadown2–0W
8 Sepvs Bangor1–0W
4 Sepvs Glentoran2–1W
27 Augvs Lincoln Red Imps FC0–2L
20 Aug@ Lincoln Red Imps FC2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Larne v Carrick Rangers2–3
Carrick Rangers vs Larne head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carrick Rangers vs Larne?

Our pick is Larne or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Carrick Rangers vs Larne?

On our numbers Carrick Rangers have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Larne 58%.

How many goals will there be in Carrick Rangers vs Larne?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carrick Rangers vs Larne?

Our predicted score is Carrick Rangers 0–1 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Carrick Rangers vs Larne?

Carrick Rangers vs Larne (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Loughview Leisure Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.