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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Linfield v Crusaders FC: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Windsor Park
1–0
FT
Linfield 66%Draw 21%Crusaders FC 13% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.73
66%
Betarazi pick

Linfield to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLinfield to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.68

Linfield vs Crusaders FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Crusaders FC travel to face Linfield on Saturday 19 September in the Premiership, with Windsor Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Linfield are 1st, leading the league, on 36 points after 15 matches; Crusaders FC are 8th (lower half) with 18. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Linfield, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portadown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Crusaders FC, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dungannon Swifts, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Linfield, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Crusaders FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Linfield 2.0 xG, Crusaders FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Linfield 66%, draw 21%, Crusaders FC 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Linfield to win (66%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Linfield 1–0 Crusaders FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Linfield66%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @5.50
Crusaders FC13%fair 7.80 · @9.00
2.71Expected goals
1.98Linfield xG
0.73Crusaders FC xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Linfield 2.0 – 0.7 Crusaders FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLinfield to win ✓66%1.501.25
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓87%1.151.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.83
Draw no betLinfield (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapLinfield -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreLinfield to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultLinfield ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Linfield / FT Linfield ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%11.68–

Recent results

Linfield – last 6

DWWWWW
15 Sep@ Portadown1–1D
12 Sep@ Dungannon Swifts1–0W
5 Sepvs Carrick Rangers1–0W
29 Aug@ Limavady United2–0W
21 Augvs Cliftonville FC1–0W
15 Augvs Glentoran2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Crusaders FC – last 6

WLLWWW
15 Sepvs Dungannon Swifts3–0W
12 Sepvs Limavady United1–2L
5 Sep@ Coleraine FC1–4L
29 Aug@ Glentoran2–1W
22 Augvs Portadown3–2W
15 Augvs Ballymena United2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Linfield and Crusaders FC.

Linfield vs Crusaders FC head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Linfield vs Crusaders FC?

Our pick is Linfield to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Linfield vs Crusaders FC?

On our numbers Linfield have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Crusaders FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Crusaders FC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Crusaders FC?

Our predicted score is Linfield 1–0 Crusaders FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Linfield vs Crusaders FC?

Linfield vs Crusaders FC (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.