Crusaders FC vs Larne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crusaders FC welcome Larne to Seaview for a Premiership fixture on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Crusaders FC are 8th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Larne are 3rd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Crusaders FC, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Carrick Rangers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Larne, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Carrick Rangers, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Larne, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Crusaders FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crusaders FC 0.8 xG, Larne 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crusaders FC 14%, draw 16%, Larne 70%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Larne to win (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crusaders FC 0–2 Larne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crusaders FC14%fair 7.30 · @7.50
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @5.00
Larne70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
3.00Expected goals
0.81Crusaders FC xG
2.19Larne xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Crusaders FC 0.8 – 2.2 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Double chance
Larne or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Larne (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Larne -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Larne to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Larne ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Crusaders FC – last 6
LWLWLL
3 Oct
@ Carrick Rangers
0–4
L
26 Sep
vs Bangor
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Linfield
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Dungannon Swifts
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Limavady United
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Coleraine FC
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Larne – last 6
WWWWWL
19 Sep
@ Carrick Rangers
5–2
W
15 Sep
vs Cliftonville FC
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Portadown
2–0
W
8 Sep
vs Bangor
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Glentoran
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crusaders FC and Larne.
Our pick is Larne to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Crusaders FC vs Larne?
On our numbers Crusaders FC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Larne 70%.
How many goals will there be in Crusaders FC vs Larne?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crusaders FC vs Larne?
Our predicted score is Crusaders FC 0–2 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Crusaders FC vs Larne?
Crusaders FC vs Larne (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Seaview.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.