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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dungannon Swifts v Carrick Rangers: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Stangmore Park
2–4
FT
Dungannon Swifts 40%Draw 22%Carrick Rangers 38% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.27
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Carrick Rangers to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDungannon Swifts to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14

Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Dungannon Swifts v Carrick Rangers in the Premiership, played at Stangmore Park. In the table, Dungannon Swifts are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Carrick Rangers are 6th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Dungannon Swifts, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Glentoran, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Carrick Rangers, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Crusaders FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dungannon Swifts, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Carrick Rangers.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Dungannon Swifts 3–1 Carrick Rangers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dungannon Swifts 1.3 xG, Carrick Rangers 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dungannon Swifts 40%, draw 22%, Carrick Rangers 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Carrick Rangers to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dungannon Swifts 1–1 Carrick Rangers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dungannon Swifts40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
Carrick Rangers38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
2.58Expected goals
1.31Dungannon Swifts xG
1.27Carrick Rangers xG
62%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Dungannon Swifts 1.3 – 1.3 Carrick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDungannon Swifts to win ✗40%2.502.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.50
Draw no betDungannon Swifts (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapCarrick Rangers +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreDungannon Swifts to score first47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dungannon Swifts / FT Dungannon Swifts ✗22%4.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.14–

Recent results

Dungannon Swifts – last 6

LDLLWW
3 Oct@ Glentoran0–2L
19 Sepvs Ballymena United1–1D
15 Sep@ Crusaders FC0–3L
12 Sepvs Linfield0–1L
5 Sep@ Limavady United2–0W
29 Aug@ Cliftonville FC2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Carrick Rangers – last 6

WLLDLL
3 Octvs Crusaders FC4–0W
26 Sep@ Glentoran0–2L
19 Sepvs Larne2–5L
15 Sep@ Ballymena United1–1D
12 Sepvs Cliftonville FC1–3L
5 Sep@ Linfield0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Dungannon Swifts v Carrick Rangers3–1
Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

On our numbers Dungannon Swifts have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carrick Rangers 38%.

How many goals will there be in Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Our predicted score is Dungannon Swifts 1–1 Carrick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stangmore Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.