Ballymena United 66%Draw 20%Crusaders FC 14%Expected goals 2.19 – 0.91
86%
Betarazi pick
Ballymena United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ballymena United to win @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBallymena United to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceBallymena United or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.17
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crusaders FC travel to face Ballymena United on Saturday 17 October in the Premiership, with Ballymena Showgrounds the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ballymena United are 9th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Crusaders FC are 8th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ballymena United, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Limavady United, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Crusaders FC, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Larne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Crusaders FC 2–1 Ballymena United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ballymena United 1 win, Crusaders FC 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ballymena United 2.2 xG, Crusaders FC 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ballymena United 66%, draw 20%, Crusaders FC 14%.
Lower-risk option: Ballymena United or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Ballymena United to win @1.62 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ballymena United or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ballymena United 2–0 Crusaders FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ballymena United66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.00
Crusaders FC14%fair 7.21 · @4.33
3.10Expected goals
2.19Ballymena United xG
0.91Crusaders FC xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ballymena United 2.2 – 0.9 Crusaders FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
Our pick is Ballymena United or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
On our numbers Ballymena United have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Crusaders FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
Our predicted score is Ballymena United 2–0 Crusaders FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC?
Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
