Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Linfield to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLinfield to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Premiership brings Carrick Rangers against Linfield at Taylors Avenue. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Carrick Rangers are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Linfield are 1st (leading the league) with 36. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Carrick Rangers, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Dungannon Swifts, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Linfield, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bangor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Linfield, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Carrick Rangers.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Linfield 1–0 Carrick Rangers. The last 2 head-to-heads: Carrick Rangers 1 win, Linfield 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carrick Rangers 0.8 xG, Linfield 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carrick Rangers 17%, draw 23%, Linfield 60%.
Lower-risk option: Linfield or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Linfield to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Linfield or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrick Rangers 0–1 Linfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carrick Rangers17%fair 6.03 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
Linfield60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
2.67Expected goals
0.85Carrick Rangers xG
1.82Linfield xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Carrick Rangers 0.8 – 1.8 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
Our pick is Linfield or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
On our numbers Carrick Rangers have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Linfield 60%.
How many goals will there be in Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
Our predicted score is Carrick Rangers 0–1 Linfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Taylors Avenue.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
