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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ballymena United v Linfield: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Ballymena Showgrounds
Fri 13 Nov 2026
Ballymena United 21%Draw 24%Linfield 55% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.61
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.32

7/10Rating
1.32Odds

Picks by market

ResultLinfield to win55% · @1.67
Double chanceLinfield or draw79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.55

Ballymena United vs Linfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ballymena United welcome Linfield to Ballymena Showgrounds for a Premiership fixture on Friday 13 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Ballymena United are 9th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Linfield are 1st (leading the league) with 36. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ballymena United, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portadown, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Linfield, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Coleraine FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Linfield, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Ballymena United.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Linfield 0–3 Ballymena United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ballymena United 0.9 xG, Linfield 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ballymena United 21%, draw 24%, Linfield 55%.
  • Lower-risk option: Linfield or draw (79%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.72.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ballymena United 0–1 Linfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ballymena United21%fair 4.66 · @4.10
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.62
Linfield55%fair 1.83 · @1.67
2.51Expected goals
0.89Ballymena United xG
1.61Linfield xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Ballymena United 0.9 – 1.6 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ballymena UnitedLinfield
Attack vs Premiership average-10%+13%
Goals conceded vs average-5%-36%
Our expected goals here0.821.50

Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLinfield to win55%1.831.67
Double chanceLinfield or draw79%1.271.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.761.72
Draw no betLinfield (draw no bet)72%1.39–
Asian handicapBallymena United +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.371.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.961.92
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.391.32
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.161.09
First team to scoreLinfield to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Linfield / FT Linfield33%3.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.55–

Recent results

Ballymena United – last 6

DLWWLW
7 Nov@ Portadown1–1D
31 Octvs Bangor0–1L
20 Oct@ Newington Youth3–1W
17 Octvs Crusaders FC2–1W
10 Oct@ Limavady United2–3L
3 Oct@ Cliftonville FC1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Linfield – last 6

WDWWDW
7 Novvs Coleraine FC3–0W
31 Octvs Dungannon Swifts1–1D
23 Oct@ Portadown2–1W
20 Oct@ Larne2–1W
17 Oct@ Carrick Rangers2–2D
10 Octvs Bangor2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Linfield v Ballymena United0–3
Ballymena United vs Linfield head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ballymena United vs Linfield?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Ballymena United vs Linfield?

On our numbers Ballymena United have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Linfield 55%.

How many goals will there be in Ballymena United vs Linfield?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ballymena United vs Linfield?

Our predicted score is Ballymena United 0–1 Linfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ballymena United vs Linfield?

Ballymena United vs Linfield (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.