Larne vs Dungannon Swifts: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dungannon Swifts travel to face Larne on Friday 13 November in the Premiership, with Inver Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Larne are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Dungannon Swifts are 7th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Larne, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Cliftonville FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Dungannon Swifts, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Limavady United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Larne 2–1 Dungannon Swifts.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Larne 1.9 xG, Dungannon Swifts 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Larne 61%, draw 21%, Dungannon Swifts 18%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.78.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Larne 1–0 Dungannon Swifts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Larne61%fair 1.65 · @1.46
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.10
Dungannon Swifts18%fair 5.51 · @5.30
2.89Expected goals
1.89Larne xG
1.00Dungannon Swifts xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Larne 1.9 – 1.0 Dungannon Swifts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Larne
Dungannon Swifts
Attack vs Premiership average
+21%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.90
1.13
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
On our numbers Larne have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dungannon Swifts 18%.
How many goals will there be in Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Our predicted score is Larne 1–0 Dungannon Swifts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Larne vs Dungannon Swifts?
Larne vs Dungannon Swifts (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
