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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Neftekhimik v Veles: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Neftekhimik Stadium
0–1
FT

Veles

DLWDL
FK Neftekhimik 44%Draw 29%Veles 27% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.08
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗44% · @1.95
Double chanceFK Neftekhimik or draw ✗73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.33

FK Neftekhimik vs Veles: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Veles travel to face FK Neftekhimik on Saturday 11 July in the First League, with Neftekhimik Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, FK Neftekhimik are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 17 matches; Veles are 5th (upper half) with 31. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FK Neftekhimik, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over KAMAZ, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Veles, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ska-khabarovsk, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Neftekhimik 1.1 xG, Veles 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Neftekhimik 44%, draw 29%, Veles 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: FK Neftekhimik or draw (73%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Veles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Neftekhimik44%fair 2.29 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @3.24
Veles27%fair 3.67 · @3.88
2.20Expected goals
1.12FK Neftekhimik xG
1.08Veles xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.1 – 1.1 Veles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FK NeftekhimikVeles
Attack vs First League average-38%-4%
Goals conceded vs average+7%-10%
Our expected goals here0.831.20

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗44%2.291.95
Double chanceFK Neftekhimik or draw ✗73%1.371.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.90 ▲
Draw no betFK Neftekhimik (draw no bet) ✗62%1.62–
Asian handicapVeles +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.04
First team to scoreFK Neftekhimik to score first ✗45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik ✗20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.33–

Recent results

FK Neftekhimik – last 6

WDWDLL
1 Jul@ KAMAZ3–2W
28 Jun@ Krylia Sovetov1–1D
25 Jun@ FC Orenburg1–0W
18 Junvs KAMAZ0–0D
16 May@ Ska-khabarovsk0–2L
2 May@ Chelyabinsk0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Veles – last 6

DLWDLW
4 Jul@ Ska-khabarovsk2–2D
21 Jun@ Novosibirsk1–2L
17 Junvs Novosibirsk4–1W
13 Junvs Leningradets1–1D
7 Jun@ Mashuk-KMV0–1L
31 Mayvs Torpedo Miass3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Veles.

FK Neftekhimik vs Veles head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Veles?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Veles?

On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Veles 27%.

How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Veles?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Veles?

Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Veles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is FK Neftekhimik vs Veles?

FK Neftekhimik vs Veles (First League) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.