FC UFA 42%Draw 38%Leningradets 20%Expected goals 1.35 – 0.83
80%
Betarazi pick
FC UFA or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC UFA to win ✓42% · @1.98
Double chanceFC UFA or draw ✓80% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
FC UFA vs Leningradets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 11 July: FC UFA v Leningradets in the First League, played at BetBoom Arena. In the table, FC UFA are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Leningradets are 13th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
FC UFA, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rotor Volgograd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Leningradets, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Dinamo Makhachkala, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leningradets, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for FC UFA.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC UFA 1.4 xG, Leningradets 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC UFA 42%, draw 38%, Leningradets 20%.
Lower-risk option: FC UFA or draw (80%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC UFA or draw (80%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC UFA 1–0 Leningradets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC UFA42%fair 2.36 · @1.98
Draw38%fair 2.64 · @3.20
Leningradets20%fair 5.06 · @3.82
2.18Expected goals
1.35FC UFA xG
0.83Leningradets xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: FC UFA 1.4 – 0.8 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC UFA
Leningradets
Attack vs First League average
-21%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.30
0.71
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC UFA to win✓
42%
2.36
1.98
Double chance
FC UFA or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.92
Draw no bet
FC UFA (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Leningradets +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.03
First team to score
FC UFA to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC UFA / FT FC UFA✓
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
FC UFA – last 6
LWLDDL
28 Jun
@ Rotor Volgograd
0–1
L
10 May
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Ural
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Enisey
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leningradets – last 6
LDWWLW
4 Jul
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–3
L
13 Jun
@ Veles
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Torpedo Miass
3–1
W
31 May
@ Tekstilshchik
2–0
W
27 May
vs Volgar Astrakhan
0–1
L
23 May
@ Kaluga
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC UFA and Leningradets.
What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Leningradets?
Our pick is FC UFA or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win FC UFA vs Leningradets?
On our numbers FC UFA have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 38% and Leningradets 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC UFA vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is FC UFA 1–0 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is FC UFA vs Leningradets?
FC UFA vs Leningradets (First League) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at BetBoom Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
