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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv v CSKA Moscow: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · RZD Arena

Lokomotiv

LDLWW
1–1
FT

CSKA Moscow

DWLLL
Lokomotiv 36%Draw 26%CSKA Moscow 39% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.40
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✗39% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 4 August the Cup brings Lokomotiv against CSKA Moscow at RZD Arena. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT.

Current form

Lokomotiv, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Makhachkala, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

CSKA Moscow, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Krylia Sovetov, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lokomotiv, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for CSKA Moscow.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jul 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 1–0 CSKA Moscow. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv 1 win, CSKA Moscow 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.3 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 36%, draw 26%, CSKA Moscow 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv36%fair 2.81 · @2.67
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.48
CSKA Moscow39%fair 2.58 · @2.65
2.70Expected goals
1.31Lokomotiv xG
1.40CSKA Moscow xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.3 – 1.4 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Moscow to win ✗39%2.582.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.341.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.60
Draw no betCSKA Moscow (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapLokomotiv +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.09
First team to scoreCSKA Moscow to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Lokomotiv – last 6

LDLWWW
1 Aug@ Dinamo Makhachkala1–2L
26 Julvs Akhmat1–1D
18 Julvs Rubin1–3L
14 Julvs CSKA Moscow1–0W
11 Julvs Spartak Moscow2–0W
11 Julvs Akron3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CSKA Moscow – last 6

DWLLLD
1 Augvs Krylia Sovetov1–1D
24 Julvs Baltika2–1W
18 Jul@ Dynamo2–5L
14 Jul@ Lokomotiv0–1L
11 Jul@ FC Orenburg0–2L
4 Julvs Arsenal Tula1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jul 2026Lokomotiv v CSKA Moscow1–0
17 May 2026CSKA Moscow v Lokomotiv3–1
Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Akron0 FC Rostov4 133%2.89X24%3.52242%2.45 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Dinamo Makhachkala1 Krylia Sovetov2 145%2.06X26%3.35229%3.92 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.39 ✓
FT Rodina Moskva5 Rubin0 135%3.42X24%3.84241%2.06 1.4–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CSKA Moscow 39%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.