Value bet: Rodina Moskva to win @ 3.42 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRubin to win ✗41% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Rodina Moskva vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rodina Moskva welcome Rubin to Arena Khimki for a Cup fixture on Tuesday 4 August (16:30 WAT).
Current form
Rodina Moskva, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to FC Rostov, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rubin, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Akron, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rubin, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Rodina Moskva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 1.4 xG, Rubin 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 35%, draw 24%, Rubin 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.64.
Price worth noting: Rodina Moskva to win @3.42 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva35%fair 2.86 · @3.42
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.84
Rubin41%fair 2.42 · @2.06
2.84Expected goals
1.41Rodina Moskva xG
1.43Rubin xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.4 – 1.4 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rubin to win✗
41%
2.42
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.64
Draw no bet
Rubin (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Rodina Moskva +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.10
First team to score
Rubin to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rubin / FT Rubin✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Rodina Moskva – last 6
LLLDWL
31 Jul
vs FC Rostov
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Spartak Moscow
0–3
L
2 Jul
vs Akron
0–5
L
27 Jun
@ Lokomotiv
0–0
D
8 May
vs Chelyabinsk
2–0
W
22 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rubin – last 6
WLWWDL
1 Aug
@ Akron
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs FC Krasnodar
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
3–1
W
11 Jul
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–0
W
8 Jul
@ Spartak Moscow
0–0
D
3 Jul
vs FC Orenburg
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and Rubin.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rubin 41%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Rodina Moskva vs Rubin (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Akron0
FC Rostov4
Dinamo Makhachkala1
Krylia Sovetov2
Lokomotiv1
CSKA Moscow1