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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dynamo v FC Krasnodar: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · VTB Arena

Dynamo

LWWLD
0–1
FT
Dynamo 38%Draw 21%FC Krasnodar 41% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.24
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.08 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✓41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.59
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.40

Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:45 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Dynamo v FC Krasnodar in the Cup, played at VTB Arena.

Current form

Dynamo, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Zenit, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FC Krasnodar, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Akhmat, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Krasnodar, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Dynamo.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Dynamo 2–1 FC Krasnodar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Dynamo 1 win, FC Krasnodar 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dynamo 1.2 xG, FC Krasnodar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dynamo 38%, draw 21%, FC Krasnodar 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.59.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dynamo 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dynamo38%fair 2.62 · @2.61
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.76
FC Krasnodar41%fair 2.44 · @2.60
2.42Expected goals
1.18Dynamo xG
1.24FC Krasnodar xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Dynamo 1.2 – 1.2 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Krasnodar to win ✓41%2.442.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.59
Draw no betFC Krasnodar (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapDynamo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.952.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreFC Krasnodar to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar ✓22%4.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.40–

Recent results

Dynamo – last 6

LWWLDW
16 Aug@ Zenit0–3L
9 Augvs Dinamo Makhachkala3–1W
5 Aug@ Fakel1–0W
1 Aug@ Baltika1–2L
25 Julvs Krylia Sovetov0–0D
18 Julvs CSKA Moscow5–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Krasnodar – last 6

WWDWWD
15 Augvs Akhmat1–0W
9 Aug@ Spartak Moscow2–1W
5 Augvs Akhmat1–1D
2 Augvs Fakel3–2W
26 Jul@ Rubin3–1W
19 Julvs Baltika1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Dynamo v FC Krasnodar2–1
8 Apr 2026Dynamo v FC Krasnodar0–0
Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?

On our numbers Dynamo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Krasnodar 41%.

How many goals will there be in Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?

Our predicted score is Dynamo 1–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?

Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at VTB Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.