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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rubin v Spartak Moscow: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Ak Bars Arena

Rubin

DDLWL
1–1
FTPens 5–3

Spartak Moscow

WLWWW
Rubin 18%Draw 23%Spartak Moscow 60% Expected goals 1.48 – 2.62
83%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.89 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✗60% · @1.81
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓82% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Rubin vs Spartak Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Rubin v Spartak Moscow in the Cup, played at Ak Bars Arena.

Current form

Rubin, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Rostov, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Spartak Moscow, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Baltika, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Rubin.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Jul 2026) it ended Spartak Moscow 0–0 Rubin. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rubin 0 wins, Spartak Moscow 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rubin 1.5 xG, Spartak Moscow 2.6 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rubin 18%, draw 23%, Spartak Moscow 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (82%) at 1.24.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubin 1–2 Spartak Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rubin18%fair 5.66 · @4.35
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.90
Spartak Moscow60%fair 1.68 · @1.81
4.10Expected goals
1.48Rubin xG
2.62Spartak Moscow xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–37%
1–16%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%

From our goals model: Rubin 1.5 – 2.6 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Moscow to win ✗60%1.681.81 ▲
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓82%1.211.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.551.77 ▲
Draw no betSpartak Moscow (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapSpartak Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.89 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.791.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.381.07
First team to scoreSpartak Moscow to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultSpartak Moscow ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.88–

Recent results

Rubin – last 6

DDLWLW
15 Aug@ FC Rostov1–1D
9 Augvs FC Orenburg1–1D
4 Aug@ Rodina Moskva0–5L
1 Aug@ Akron2–1W
26 Julvs FC Krasnodar1–3L
18 Jul@ Lokomotiv3–1W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Spartak Moscow – last 6

WLWWWD
16 Aug@ Baltika2–1W
9 Augvs FC Krasnodar1–2L
5 Augvs FC Orenburg5–1W
2 Aug@ Akhmat2–1W
25 Julvs Rodina Moskva3–0W
18 Jul@ Zenit1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Jul 2026Spartak Moscow v Rubin0–0
11 May 2026Spartak Moscow v Rubin2–1
Rubin vs Spartak Moscow head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Krylia Sovetov0 Zenit0 110%7.40X19%4.90272%1.43 0.5–2.0xG 2Zenit to win 72%@1.43 ✗
FT Dynamo0 FC Krasnodar1 138%2.61X21%3.76241%2.60 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?

On our numbers Rubin have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Moscow 60%.

How many goals will there be in Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?

Our predicted score is Rubin 1–2 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?

Rubin vs Spartak Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Ak Bars Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.