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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Baltika v Krylia Sovetov: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Rostec Arena

Baltika

WDDLW
0–0
FTPens 3–5

Krylia Sovetov

DWDLL
Baltika 62%Draw 20%Krylia Sovetov 18% Expected goals 1.59 – 0.66
82%
Betarazi pick

Baltika or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Baltika to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBaltika to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceBaltika or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00

Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:45 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Baltika v Krylia Sovetov in the Cup, played at Rostec Arena.

Current form

Baltika, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rodina Moskva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Krylia Sovetov, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Akhmat, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Krylia Sovetov 0–2 Baltika. The last 2 head-to-heads: Baltika 2 wins, Krylia Sovetov 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.6 xG, Krylia Sovetov 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 62%, draw 20%, Krylia Sovetov 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Baltika or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.81.
  • Price worth noting: Baltika to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Baltika or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–0 Krylia Sovetov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Baltika62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.64
Krylia Sovetov18%fair 5.66 · @4.60
2.26Expected goals
1.59Baltika xG
0.66Krylia Sovetov xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Baltika 1.6 – 0.7 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBaltika to win ✗62%1.611.83 ▲
Double chanceBaltika or draw ✓82%1.211.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.921.81
Draw no betBaltika (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapKrylia Sovetov +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.471.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.03
First team to scoreBaltika to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Baltika / FT Baltika ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.00–

Recent results

Baltika – last 6

WDDLWL
30 Aug@ Rodina Moskva3–0W
24 Augvs Rubin1–1D
20 Augvs Dinamo Makhachkala1–1D
16 Augvs Spartak Moscow1–2L
8 Aug@ Krylia Sovetov2–0W
5 Aug@ Zenit0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

DWDLLW
29 Aug@ Akhmat3–3D
23 Aug@ Akron3–0W
19 Augvs Zenit0–0D
16 Augvs Dinamo Makhachkala1–4L
8 Augvs Baltika0–2L
4 Aug@ Dinamo Makhachkala2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Krylia Sovetov v Baltika0–2
22 Feb 2026Krylia Sovetov v Baltika0–1
Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT FC Orenburg1 Rubin1 Pens 2–4 144%2.64X23%3.30233%2.81 2.0–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.31 ✓
FT Zenit3 Dinamo Makhachkala0 170%1.36X20%5.00210%9.60 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Spartak Moscow3 Rodina Moskva1 172%1.28X18%6.15210%10.25 2.9–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.41 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our pick is Baltika or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?

On our numbers Baltika have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Krylia Sovetov 18%.

How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our predicted score is Baltika 1–0 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov?

Baltika vs Krylia Sovetov (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.