Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Fakel vs FC Krasnodar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fakel welcome FC Krasnodar to Fakel Stadium for a Cup fixture on Tuesday 1 September (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Fakel, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zenit, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
FC Krasnodar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Rostov, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Krasnodar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Fakel.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended FC Krasnodar 3–2 Fakel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fakel 0.7 xG, FC Krasnodar 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel 16%, draw 23%, FC Krasnodar 62%.
Lower-risk option: FC Krasnodar or draw (84%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.89.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel 0–1 FC Krasnodar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fakel16%fair 6.39 · @5.10
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.05
FC Krasnodar62%fair 1.62 · @1.68
2.37Expected goals
0.69Fakel xG
1.67FC Krasnodar xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Fakel 0.7 – 1.7 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers Fakel have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Krasnodar 62%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is Fakel 0–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs FC Krasnodar?
Fakel vs FC Krasnodar (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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