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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Rostov v CSKA Moscow: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Rostov Arena
2–0
FT
FC Rostov 39%Draw 22%CSKA Moscow 39% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.24
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.31 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.31Odds
1

Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Rostov to win ✓39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53

FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSKA Moscow travel to face FC Rostov on Tuesday 1 September in the Cup, with Rostov Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT.

Current form

FC Rostov, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Krasnodar, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

CSKA Moscow, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Akron, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended CSKA Moscow 0–0 FC Rostov. The last 3 head-to-heads: FC Rostov 0 wins, CSKA Moscow 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Rostov 1.2 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Rostov 39%, draw 22%, CSKA Moscow 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.66.
  • Price worth noting: FC Rostov to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Rostov 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Rostov39%fair 2.55 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.55
CSKA Moscow39%fair 2.55 · @2.44
2.48Expected goals
1.24FC Rostov xG
1.24CSKA Moscow xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: FC Rostov 1.2 – 1.2 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Rostov to win ✓39%2.552.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.66
Draw no betFC Rostov (draw no bet) ✓50%2.00–
Asian handicapCSKA Moscow +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.94
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.07
First team to scoreFC Rostov to score first ✓46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Rostov / FT FC Rostov ✗21%4.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.53–

Recent results

FC Rostov – last 6

LLWDDW
29 Aug@ FC Krasnodar0–1L
22 Aug@ Akhmat1–4L
18 Augvs Lokomotiv1–0W
15 Augvs Rubin1–1D
8 Aug@ CSKA Moscow0–0D
4 Aug@ Akron4–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CSKA Moscow – last 6

DWLWDD
28 Aug@ Akron2–2D
22 Augvs Lokomotiv3–2W
18 Augvs Akron0–1L
15 Augvs Fakel1–0W
8 Augvs FC Rostov0–0D
4 Aug@ Lokomotiv1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026CSKA Moscow v FC Rostov0–0
21 Apr 2026CSKA Moscow v FC Rostov1–1
18 Feb 2026CSKA Moscow v FC Rostov3–1
FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow?

On our numbers FC Rostov have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CSKA Moscow 39%.

How many goals will there be in FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow?

Our predicted score is FC Rostov 1–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow?

FC Rostov vs CSKA Moscow (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostov Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.