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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Moscow v Rubin: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Lukoil Arena

Spartak Moscow

LWWDW
1–0
FT

Rubin

LLLLD
Spartak Moscow 67%Draw 19%Rubin 14% Expected goals 2.48 – 1.09
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.23Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.02 – our chance 60% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓67% · @1.43
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @2.02
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rubin travel to face Spartak Moscow on Wednesday 28 October in the Cup, with Lukoil Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Spartak Moscow, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CSKA Moscow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rubin, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Krylia Sovetov, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Rubin.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Oct 2026) it ended Spartak Moscow 4–0 Rubin. The last 4 head-to-heads: Spartak Moscow 2 wins, Rubin 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 2.5 xG, Rubin 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 67%, draw 19%, Rubin 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.02.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.02 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 2–1 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Moscow67%fair 1.49 · @1.43
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.50
Rubin14%fair 7.05 · @8.00
3.58Expected goals
2.48Spartak Moscow xG
1.09Rubin xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.5 – 1.1 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Moscow to win ✓67%1.491.43
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓86%1.171.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.672.02 ▲
Draw no betSpartak Moscow (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapSpartak Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.241.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.82 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.10
First team to scoreSpartak Moscow to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultSpartak Moscow ahead at half-time ✓51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Spartak Moscow – last 6

LWWDWW
25 Oct@ CSKA Moscow0–2L
18 Octvs Rubin4–0W
15 Oct@ Rodina Moskva4–2W
10 Oct@ Krylia Sovetov1–1D
16 Sepvs Fakel1–0W
13 Sepvs FC Rostov3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rubin – last 6

LLLLDD
24 Octvs Krylia Sovetov0–2L
18 Oct@ Spartak Moscow0–4L
15 Octvs FC Orenburg1–4L
11 Octvs Dynamo0–1L
16 Sep@ Rodina Moskva1–1D
12 Sep@ CSKA Moscow1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Oct 2026Spartak Moscow v Rubin4–0
19 Aug 2026Rubin v Spartak Moscow1–1
8 Jul 2026Spartak Moscow v Rubin0–0
11 May 2026Spartak Moscow v Rubin2–1
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT FC Orenburg2 Rodina Moskva1 156%1.89X23%3.78221%3.96 2.4–1.5xG 1XFC Orenburg or draw 79%@1.27 ✓
FT FC Rostov6 Akron1 164%1.85X22%3.62214%4.40 1.8–0.7xG 1XFC Rostov or draw 86%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rubin 14%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.