Value bet: Notts County to win @ 3.65 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeicester to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Notts County vs Leicester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Notts County v Leicester in the League One, played at Meadow Lane. In the table, Notts County are 17th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Leicester are 10th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Notts County, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burnley, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Leicester, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Northampton, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Leicester, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Notts County.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notts County 1.3 xG, Leicester 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notts County 37%, draw 22%, Leicester 41%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Notts County to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notts County 1–1 Leicester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notts County37%fair 2.72 · @3.65
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
Leicester41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
2.61Expected goals
1.26Notts County xG
1.35Leicester xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Notts County 1.3 – 1.3 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✗
41%
2.45
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.75
Draw no bet
Leicester (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Notts County +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Leicester to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Notts County – last 6
DDLLLW
8 Aug
@ Burnley
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Walsall
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
0–2
L
14 Jul
@ Randers FC
1–3
L
11 Jul
@ Viborg
0–2
L
4 Jul
@ Alfreton Town
5–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leicester – last 6
WLDWWW
8 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Genoa
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Malaga
3–3
D
22 Jul
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Burton Albion
3–0
W
14 Jul
@ Bristol Rovers
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notts County and Leicester.
What is the prediction for Notts County vs Leicester?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Notts County vs Leicester?
On our numbers Notts County have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leicester 41%.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Leicester?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notts County vs Leicester?
Our predicted score is Notts County 1–1 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Notts County vs Leicester?
Notts County vs Leicester (League One) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
