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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oxford United v Burton Albion: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Kassam Stadium
3–0
FT
Oxford United 56%Draw 22%Burton Albion 22% Expected goals 2.21 – 1.35
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultOxford United to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67

Oxford United vs Burton Albion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burton Albion travel to face Oxford United on Saturday 12 September in the League One, with Kassam Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Oxford United are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Burton Albion are 15th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Oxford United, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Leicester, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Burton Albion, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cambridge United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oxford United 2.2 xG, Burton Albion 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oxford United 56%, draw 22%, Burton Albion 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oxford United 2–1 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oxford United56%fair 1.79 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.50
Burton Albion22%fair 4.50 · @3.90
3.56Expected goals
2.21Oxford United xG
1.35Burton Albion xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Oxford United 2.2 – 1.4 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOxford United to win ✓56%1.791.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.70 ▲
Draw no betOxford United (draw no bet) ✓72%1.40–
Asian handicapBurton Albion +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
First team to scoreOxford United to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultOxford United ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oxford United / FT Oxford United ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.67–

Recent results

Oxford United – last 6

WLWDLW
5 Sep@ Leicester4–0W
1 Sep@ Huddersfield1–3L
22 Aug@ Stevenage2–1W
15 Augvs Milton Keynes Dons2–2D
8 Aug@ Leyton Orient0–2L
1 Augvs Ipswich2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Burton Albion – last 6

DWLWDL
5 Sepvs Cambridge United2–2D
2 Sepvs AFC Wimbledon4–1W
29 Aug@ Notts County1–2L
22 Aug@ Leicester2–1W
15 Augvs Stevenage1–1D
8 Augvs Blackburn1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Oxford United and Burton Albion.

Oxford United vs Burton Albion head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oxford United vs Burton Albion?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Oxford United vs Burton Albion?

On our numbers Oxford United have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burton Albion 22%.

How many goals will there be in Oxford United vs Burton Albion?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oxford United vs Burton Albion?

Our predicted score is Oxford United 2–1 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Oxford United vs Burton Albion?

Oxford United vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.