Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPlymouth to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Plymouth vs Barnsley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Plymouth welcome Barnsley to Home Park for a League One fixture on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Plymouth are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Barnsley are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Plymouth, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Doncaster, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Barnsley, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Stevenage, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barnsley, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Plymouth.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Barnsley 0–3 Plymouth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth 2.0 xG, Barnsley 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth 63%, draw 23%, Barnsley 14%.
Lower-risk option: Plymouth or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Plymouth or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth 2–0 Barnsley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plymouth63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.90
Barnsley14%fair 7.03 · @4.50
2.90Expected goals
2.02Plymouth xG
0.88Barnsley xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Plymouth 2.0 – 0.9 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Plymouth or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Plymouth vs Barnsley?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barnsley 14%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Barnsley?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Barnsley?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 2–0 Barnsley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs Barnsley?
Plymouth vs Barnsley (League One) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
