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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leyton Orient v Plymouth: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Matchroom Stadium
0–2
FT
Leyton Orient 23%Draw 17%Plymouth 60% Expected goals 1.12 – 2.01
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2

Value bet: Plymouth to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leyton Orient welcome Plymouth to Matchroom Stadium for a League One fixture on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Leyton Orient are 14th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Plymouth are 5th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Leyton Orient, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stevenage, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Plymouth, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Burton Albion, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Plymouth, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Leyton Orient.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Leyton Orient 1–3 Plymouth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leyton Orient 1.1 xG, Plymouth 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leyton Orient 23%, draw 17%, Plymouth 60%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Plymouth to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leyton Orient 1–2 Plymouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leyton Orient23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
Draw17%fair 5.89 · @3.40
Plymouth60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
3.13Expected goals
1.12Leyton Orient xG
2.01Plymouth xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Leyton Orient 1.1 – 2.0 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth to win ✓60%1.671.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.30 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.57
Draw no betPlymouth (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapLeyton Orient +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scorePlymouth to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultPlymouth ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Leyton Orient – last 6

WLLLDW
19 Sepvs Stevenage1–0W
15 Sepvs Arsenal U211–2L
12 Sepvs Wycombe2–3L
8 Sepvs Bradford1–3L
5 Sep@ Luton1–1D
1 Sep@ Bromley5–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Plymouth – last 6

LWWWWL
26 Sepvs Burton Albion0–1L
22 Sepvs Crystal Palace U215–1W
19 Sep@ Blackpool4–2W
12 Sepvs Barnsley3–0W
5 Sep@ Doncaster3–2W
1 Sep@ Leicester0–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Feb 2026Leyton Orient v Plymouth1–3
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?

On our numbers Leyton Orient have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Plymouth 60%.

How many goals will there be in Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?

Our predicted score is Leyton Orient 1–2 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth (League One) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Matchroom Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.