Value bet: Burton Albion to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBradford to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Burton Albion vs Bradford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 20 October: Burton Albion v Bradford in the League One, played at Pirelli Stadium. In the table, Burton Albion are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Bradford are 7th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Burton Albion, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Peterborough, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Bradford, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Stevenage, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bradford, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Burton Albion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burton Albion 1.0 xG, Bradford 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burton Albion 31%, draw 23%, Bradford 46%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Burton Albion to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burton Albion 1–1 Bradford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burton Albion31%fair 3.23 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Bradford46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.33Expected goals
1.01Burton Albion xG
1.32Bradford xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.0 – 1.3 Bradford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bradford to win✗
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
Bradford (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Burton Albion +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Bradford to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bradford / FT Bradford✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Burton Albion – last 6
DLDLWD
17 Oct
@ Peterborough
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Doncaster
0–1
L
6 Oct
@ Grimsby
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Huddersfield
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Plymouth
1–0
W
22 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest U21
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bradford – last 6
WDWDWW
17 Oct
vs Stevenage
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Leyton Orient
0–0
D
6 Oct
@ Rotherham
4–0
W
3 Oct
@ Reading
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Luton
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and Bradford.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Bradford?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Bradford?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bradford 46%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Bradford?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Bradford?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Bradford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs Bradford?
Burton Albion vs Bradford (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
