Doncaster 16%Draw 23%Stockport County 61%Expected goals 0.88 – 1.91
84%
Betarazi pick
Stockport County or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Stockport County to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStockport County to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceStockport County or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Doncaster vs Stockport County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 20 October: Doncaster v Stockport County in the League One, played at Keepmoat Stadium. In the table, Doncaster are 20th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Stockport County are 2nd (among the top four) with 26. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Doncaster, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Leicester, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Stockport County, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bromley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Stockport County, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Doncaster.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Stockport County 1–1 Doncaster. The last 2 head-to-heads: Doncaster 0 wins, Stockport County 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Doncaster 0.9 xG, Stockport County 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Doncaster 16%, draw 23%, Stockport County 61%.
Lower-risk option: Stockport County or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Stockport County to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Stockport County or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Doncaster 0–1 Stockport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Doncaster16%fair 6.15 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.50
Stockport County61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
2.79Expected goals
0.88Doncaster xG
1.91Stockport County xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Doncaster 0.9 – 1.9 Stockport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Doncaster vs Stockport County?
Our pick is Stockport County or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Doncaster vs Stockport County?
On our numbers Doncaster have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stockport County 61%.
How many goals will there be in Doncaster vs Stockport County?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Doncaster vs Stockport County?
Our predicted score is Doncaster 0–1 Stockport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Doncaster vs Stockport County?
Doncaster vs Stockport County (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Keepmoat Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
