Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the League One brings Stevenage against Milton Keynes Dons at Lamex Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stevenage are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Milton Keynes Dons are 12th (upper half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stevenage, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Plymouth, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Milton Keynes Dons, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Blackpool, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.6 xG, Milton Keynes Dons 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 49%, draw 23%, Milton Keynes Dons 28%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stevenage49%fair 2.04 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Milton Keynes Dons28%fair 3.59 · @3.60
2.70Expected goals
1.58Stevenage xG
1.12Milton Keynes Dons xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.6 – 1.1 Milton Keynes Dons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stevenage to win✗
49%
2.04
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Stevenage (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Milton Keynes Dons +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Stevenage to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Stevenage – last 6
WLWWWL
20 Oct
vs Plymouth
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Bradford
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Wigan
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Leicester
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Walsall
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Leyton Orient
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons – last 6
LWLWWD
20 Oct
@ Blackpool
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Luton
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Reading
1–5
L
6 Oct
vs Brentford U21
7–1
W
22 Sep
vs Crawley Town
4–1
W
17 Sep
@ AFC Wimbledon
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons.
What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Milton Keynes Dons 28%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons (League One) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
