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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lazio v Mantova: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Olimpico

Lazio

WWWWW
0–2
FT

Mantova

LWWLW
Lazio 67%Draw 21%Mantova 12% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.80
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLazio to win ✗67% · @1.31
Double chanceLazio or draw ✗88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Lazio vs Mantova: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:15 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Lazio v Mantova in the Coppa Italia, played at Stadio Olimpico.

Current form

Lazio, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Frosinone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.

Mantova, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Athletic Carpi, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Mantova.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lazio 2.1 xG, Mantova 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lazio 67%, draw 21%, Mantova 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lazio 2–0 Mantova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lazio67%fair 1.50 · @1.31
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.80
Mantova12%fair 8.03 · @10.00
2.89Expected goals
2.10Lazio xG
0.80Mantova xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Lazio 2.1 – 0.8 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLazio to win ✗67%1.501.31
Double chanceLazio or draw ✗88%1.141.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.802.05 ▲
Draw no betLazio (draw no bet) ✗84%1.19–
Asian handicapLazio -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
First team to scoreLazio to score first ✗68%1.46–
Half-time resultLazio ahead at half-time ✗48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lazio / FT Lazio ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Lazio – last 6

WWWWWL
9 Aug@ Frosinone2–1W
5 Augvs Ostia Mare4–0W
2 Aug@ Ascoli2–1W
1 Augvs Avellino6–3W
26 Julvs Flaminia6–0W
17 May@ AS Roma0–2L
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Mantova – last 6

LWWLWW
9 Augvs Athletic Carpi0–1L
6 Aug@ Legnago Salus3–1W
30 Julvs Alcione6–2W
8 May@ Frosinone0–5L
1 Mayvs Monza3–2W
6 Aprvs Virtus Entella1–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Mantova.

Lazio vs Mantova head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia predictions

FT Frosinone4 Juve Stabia1 159%1.70X23%3.80217%4.60 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Genoa4 Ascoli1 166%1.39X20%4.30215%8.70 2.3–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Hellas Verona2 Virtus Entella2 Pens 3–2 166%1.65X22%3.75212%5.10 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lazio vs Mantova?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lazio vs Mantova?

On our numbers Lazio have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mantova 12%.

How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Mantova?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Mantova?

Our predicted score is Lazio 2–0 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Lazio vs Mantova?

Lazio vs Mantova (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.