Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 60% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGenoa to win ✓66% · @1.39
Double chanceGenoa or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Genoa vs Ascoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Coppa Italia brings Genoa against Ascoli at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Genoa, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo La Coruna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Ascoli, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Potenza, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genoa 2.3 xG, Ascoli 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genoa 66%, draw 20%, Ascoli 15%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genoa 2–1 Ascoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genoa66%fair 1.53 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.30
Ascoli15%fair 6.78 · @8.70
3.39Expected goals
2.34Genoa xG
1.05Ascoli xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Genoa 2.3 – 1.0 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genoa to win✓
66%
1.53
1.39
Double chance
Genoa or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Genoa (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Genoa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.14
First team to score
Genoa to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Genoa ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genoa / FT Genoa✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Genoa – last 6
LLWDWL
8 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
4 Aug
@ Bournemouth
1–10
L
1 Aug
@ Leicester
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–2
D
19 Jul
vs Trento
2–1
W
24 May
@ Lecce
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ascoli – last 6
WLLWDL
8 Aug
vs Potenza
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Frosinone
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Union Brescia
3–0
W
3 Jun
@ Union Brescia
1–1
D
27 May
@ Catania
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genoa and Ascoli.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Genoa vs Ascoli?
On our numbers Genoa have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ascoli 15%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Ascoli?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Genoa 2–1 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs Ascoli?
Genoa vs Ascoli (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Frosinone4
Juve Stabia1
Hellas Verona2
Virtus Entella2
Lazio0
Mantova2