Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArds to win ✗59% · @1.45
Double chanceArds or draw ✓82% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Ards vs Dundela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 11 August: Ards v Dundela in the Championship. In the table, Ards are 11th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Dundela are 14th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Ards, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Glenavon FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Dundela, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Moyola Park, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ards, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Dundela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ards 2.0 xG, Dundela 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ards 59%, draw 23%, Dundela 18%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ards 1–1 Dundela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ards59%fair 1.68 · @1.45
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.90
Dundela18%fair 5.68 · @5.75
3.06Expected goals
1.96Ards xG
1.10Dundela xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Ards 2.0 – 1.1 Dundela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ards to win✗
59%
1.68
1.45
Double chance
Ards or draw✓
82%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Ards (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Dundela +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.14
First team to score
Ards to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Ards ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ards / FT Ards✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Ards – last 6
WLLWWW
8 Aug
@ Glenavon FC
3–1
W
28 Jul
@ Carrick Rangers
0–1
L
16 Jul
@ Bangor
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs Armagh City
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Loughgall
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Limavady United
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dundela – last 6
DLDLDL
8 Aug
vs Moyola Park
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Crusaders FC
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Bangor
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Ballymena United
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs Glentoran
3–3
D
27 Jun
@ Stranraer
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ards and Dundela.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ards vs Dundela?
On our numbers Ards have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundela 18%.
How many goals will there be in Ards vs Dundela?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ards vs Dundela?
Our predicted score is Ards 1–1 Dundela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ards vs Dundela?
Ards vs Dundela (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
