Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultInstitute to win ✗54% · @1.60
Double chanceInstitute or draw ✗79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.26
Institute vs Ballinamallard United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 11 August the Championship brings Institute against Ballinamallard United. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Institute are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Ballinamallard United are 7th (upper half) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Institute, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Strabane Athletic, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Ballinamallard United, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Newry City AFC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Institute, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Ballinamallard United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Institute 1.3 xG, Ballinamallard United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Institute 54%, draw 25%, Ballinamallard United 21%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Institute 1–0 Ballinamallard United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Institute54%fair 1.84 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.70
Ballinamallard United21%fair 4.85 · @4.50
2.11Expected goals
1.32Institute xG
0.79Ballinamallard United xG
44%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Institute 1.3 – 0.8 Ballinamallard United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Institute to win✗
54%
1.84
1.60
Double chance
Institute or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Draw no bet
Institute (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Ballinamallard United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.14
First team to score
Institute to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Institute / FT Institute✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.26
–
Recent results
Institute – last 6
WLLWWW
7 Aug
@ Strabane Athletic
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Limavady United
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Dungannon Swifts
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Loughgall
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Loughgall
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ H&W Welders
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ballinamallard United – last 6
LLDDLD
8 Aug
vs Newry City AFC
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Bangor
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Crusaders FC
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ Limavady United
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Warrenpoint Town
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Annagh United
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Institute and Ballinamallard United.
What is the prediction for Institute vs Ballinamallard United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Institute vs Ballinamallard United?
On our numbers Institute have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ballinamallard United 21%.
How many goals will there be in Institute vs Ballinamallard United?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Institute vs Ballinamallard United?
Our predicted score is Institute 1–0 Ballinamallard United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Institute vs Ballinamallard United?
Institute vs Ballinamallard United (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
