Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Petrolul Ploiesti to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArges Pitesti to win ✓37% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.41
Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 24 July the Liga I brings Arges Pitesti against Petrolul Ploiesti at Stadionul Orasenesc. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Arges Pitesti are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Petrolul Ploiesti are 4th (among the top four) with 27. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arges Pitesti, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FCSB, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Petrolul Ploiesti, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dinamo Bucuresti, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Petrolul Ploiesti, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Arges Pitesti.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Petrolul Ploiesti 2–1 Arges Pitesti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arges Pitesti 1.0 xG, Petrolul Ploiesti 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arges Pitesti 37%, draw 28%, Petrolul Ploiesti 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Petrolul Ploiesti to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arges Pitesti 1–1 Petrolul Ploiesti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arges Pitesti37%fair 2.69 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.98
Petrolul Ploiesti35%fair 2.87 · @3.35
2.05Expected goals
1.03Arges Pitesti xG
1.02Petrolul Ploiesti xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Arges Pitesti 1.0 – 1.0 Petrolul Ploiesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
On our numbers Arges Pitesti have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Petrolul Ploiesti 35%.
How many goals will there be in Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our predicted score is Arges Pitesti 1–1 Petrolul Ploiesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Orasenesc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
