Value bet: Petrolul Ploiesti to win @ 2.68 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPetrolul Ploiesti to win ✓41% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Liga I brings Petrolul Ploiesti against Oţelul at Stadionul Ilie Oană. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Petrolul Ploiesti are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 15 matches; Oţelul are 14th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Petrolul Ploiesti, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Universitatea Craiova, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Oţelul, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Bucuresti, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Oţelul, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Petrolul Ploiesti.
Head to head
When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Petrolul Ploiesti 1–5 Oţelul.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Petrolul Ploiesti 1.6 xG, Oţelul 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Petrolul Ploiesti 41%, draw 25%, Oţelul 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Petrolul Ploiesti to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Oţelul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Petrolul Ploiesti41%fair 2.42 · @2.68
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.10
Oţelul34%fair 2.95 · @2.54
2.72Expected goals
1.56Petrolul Ploiesti xG
1.16Oţelul xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Petrolul Ploiesti 1.6 – 1.2 Oţelul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
On our numbers Petrolul Ploiesti have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oţelul 34%.
How many goals will there be in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
Our predicted score is Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Oţelul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul?
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Ilie Oană.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
