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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oţelul v Universitatea Craiova: numbers & prediction

Liga I · Romania · Stadionul Oțelul

Oţelul

LDDWW
1–1
FT

Universitatea Craiova

WLDWD
Oţelul 14%Draw 24%Universitatea Craiova 62% Expected goals 0.87 – 2.00
86%
Betarazi pick

Universitatea Craiova or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Universitatea Craiova to win @ 1.87 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUniversitatea Craiova to win ✗62% · @1.87
Double chanceUniversitatea Craiova or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Oţelul welcome Universitatea Craiova to Stadionul Oțelul for a Liga I fixture on Sunday 16 August (16:30 WAT). In the table, Oţelul are 14th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 15 matches; Universitatea Craiova are 1st (leading the league) with 33. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Oţelul, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Petrolul Ploiesti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Universitatea Craiova, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over KuPS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oţelul 0.9 xG, Universitatea Craiova 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oţelul 14%, draw 24%, Universitatea Craiova 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Universitatea Craiova or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Universitatea Craiova to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Universitatea Craiova or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oţelul 0–1 Universitatea Craiova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oţelul14%fair 7.12 · @3.85
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Universitatea Craiova62%fair 1.61 · @1.87
2.86Expected goals
0.87Oţelul xG
2.00Universitatea Craiova xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Oţelul 0.9 – 2.0 Universitatea Craiova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversitatea Craiova to win ✗62%1.611.87 ▲
Double chanceUniversitatea Craiova or draw ✓86%1.161.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.75
Draw no betUniversitatea Craiova (draw no bet)82%1.23–
Asian handicapUniversitatea Craiova -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreUniversitatea Craiova to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultUniversitatea Craiova ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universitatea Craiova / FT Universitatea Craiova ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Oţelul – last 6

LDDWWD
9 Aug@ Petrolul Ploiesti0–1L
31 Julvs Dinamo Bucuresti1–1D
24 Jul@ Uta Arad2–2D
18 Julvs CFR 1907 Cluj2–1W
11 Julvs FC Bacau3–1W
3 Jul@ Farul Constanta0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Universitatea Craiova – last 6

WLDWDL
13 Augvs KuPS2–1W
9 Augvs Arges Pitesti0–1L
6 Aug@ KuPS1–1D
1 Augvs Petrolul Ploiesti4–0W
29 Julvs Levski Sofia2–2D
25 Jul@ Dinamo Bucuresti1–5L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Oţelul and Universitatea Craiova.

Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova head-to-head page →

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitatea Craiova151032+2433
2Dinamo Bucuresti151032+2133
3Rapid15942+1031
4Petrolul Ploiesti15834+227
5Universitatea Cluj15825+626
6Farul Constanta15663+224
7Corvinul Hunedoara15645+122
8FCSB15636-121
9CFR 1907 Cluj15546-119
10Uta Arad15537-418
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe15465-918
12FC Botosani15366-115
13Arges Pitesti15438-715
14Oţelul15276-613
15FC Voluntari152211-188
16Csikszereda151311-196

More Liga I predictions

League hub
FT Corvinul Hunedoara3 CFR 1907 Cluj0 142%2.54X22%3.30236%2.54 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?

Our pick is Universitatea Craiova or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?

On our numbers Oţelul have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universitatea Craiova 62%.

How many goals will there be in Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?

Our predicted score is Oţelul 0–1 Universitatea Craiova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?

Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Oțelul.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.