Value bet: Arges Pitesti to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOţelul to win ✓38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.87
Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 24 August the Liga I brings Oţelul against Arges Pitesti at Stadionul Oțelul. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Oţelul are 14th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 15 matches; Arges Pitesti are 13th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oţelul, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Concordia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Arges Pitesti, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Farul Constanta, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arges Pitesti, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Oţelul.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oţelul 1.0 xG, Arges Pitesti 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oţelul 38%, draw 26%, Arges Pitesti 36%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Arges Pitesti to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oţelul 0–0 Arges Pitesti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oţelul38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Arges Pitesti36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
1.90Expected goals
0.97Oţelul xG
0.93Arges Pitesti xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Oţelul 1.0 – 0.9 Arges Pitesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oţelul to win✓
38%
2.61
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.67
Draw no bet
Oţelul (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Arges Pitesti +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Oţelul to score first✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.87
–
Recent results
Oţelul – last 6
LDLDDW
19 Aug
@ Concordia
1–5
L
16 Aug
vs Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Petrolul Ploiesti
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Dinamo Bucuresti
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Uta Arad
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arges Pitesti – last 6
DWWWLW
14 Aug
vs Farul Constanta
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Csikszereda
1–0
W
24 Jul
vs Petrolul Ploiesti
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ FCSB
0–2
L
2 Jul
@ Dekani
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oţelul and Arges Pitesti.
What is the prediction for Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
On our numbers Oţelul have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arges Pitesti 36%.
How many goals will there be in Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
Our predicted score is Oţelul 0–0 Arges Pitesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti (Liga I) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Oțelul.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
