Value bet: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win @ 3.55 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArges Pitesti to win ✗44% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.59
Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe travel to face Arges Pitesti on Saturday 29 August in the Liga I – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Arges Pitesti are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are 11th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arges Pitesti, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Oţelul, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Farul Constanta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arges Pitesti 0.9 xG, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arges Pitesti 44%, draw 24%, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 32%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arges Pitesti 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arges Pitesti44%fair 2.30 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.95
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe32%fair 3.12 · @3.55
1.64Expected goals
0.92Arges Pitesti xG
0.72Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe xG
45%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–018%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Arges Pitesti 0.9 – 0.7 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arges Pitesti to win✗
44%
2.30
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.57
Draw no bet
Arges Pitesti (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Arges Pitesti to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.59
–
Recent results
Arges Pitesti – last 6
LDWWWL
24 Aug
@ Oţelul
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Farul Constanta
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Csikszereda
1–0
W
24 Jul
vs Petrolul Ploiesti
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ FCSB
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe – last 6
DDDDDW
23 Aug
vs Farul Constanta
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Slatina
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Csikszereda
0–0
D
10 Aug
vs FCSB
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Corvinul Hunedoara
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Universitatea Cluj
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arges Pitesti and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
What is the prediction for Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
On our numbers Arges Pitesti have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 32%.
How many goals will there be in Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our predicted score is Arges Pitesti 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga I) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
