Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Farul Constanta to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFarul Constanta to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceFarul Constanta or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Farul Constanta v Petrolul Ploiesti in the Liga I, played at Central Stadium Hagi Academy. In the table, Farul Constanta are 6th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Petrolul Ploiesti are 4th (among the top four) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Farul Constanta, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Dinamo Bucuresti, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Petrolul Ploiesti, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chindia Targoviste, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Petrolul Ploiesti, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Farul Constanta.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Farul Constanta 2–0 Petrolul Ploiesti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Farul Constanta 1.8 xG, Petrolul Ploiesti 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Farul Constanta 58%, draw 25%, Petrolul Ploiesti 16%.
Lower-risk option: Farul Constanta or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Farul Constanta to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Farul Constanta or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farul Constanta 1–0 Petrolul Ploiesti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Farul Constanta58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
Petrolul Ploiesti16%fair 6.07 · @3.75
2.65Expected goals
1.79Farul Constanta xG
0.86Petrolul Ploiesti xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Farul Constanta 1.8 – 0.9 Petrolul Ploiesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our pick is Farul Constanta or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
On our numbers Farul Constanta have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Petrolul Ploiesti 16%.
How many goals will there be in Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our predicted score is Farul Constanta 1–0 Petrolul Ploiesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium Hagi Academy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
