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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Farul Constanta v Oţelul: numbers & prediction

Liga I · Romania · Stadionul Viitorul
4–3
FT

Oţelul

DLLLL
Farul Constanta 59%Draw 25%Oţelul 16% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.84
84%
Betarazi pick

Farul Constanta or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Farul Constanta to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFarul Constanta to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceFarul Constanta or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Farul Constanta vs Oţelul: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Farul Constanta welcome Oţelul to Stadionul Viitorul for a Liga I fixture on Sunday 25 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Farul Constanta are 6th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Oţelul are 14th (in the drop zone) with 13.

Current form

Farul Constanta, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Universitatea Craiova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Oţelul, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Csikszereda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Farul Constanta, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Oţelul.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Farul Constanta 0–0 Oţelul.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Farul Constanta 1.8 xG, Oţelul 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Farul Constanta 59%, draw 25%, Oţelul 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Farul Constanta or draw (84%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Farul Constanta to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Farul Constanta or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farul Constanta 1–0 Oţelul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Farul Constanta59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.30
Oţelul16%fair 6.11 · @3.60
2.63Expected goals
1.79Farul Constanta xG
0.84Oţelul xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Farul Constanta 1.8 – 0.8 Oţelul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFarul Constanta to win ✓59%1.691.95 ▲
Double chanceFarul Constanta or draw ✓84%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.75
Draw no betFarul Constanta (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapOţelul +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreFarul Constanta to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultFarul Constanta ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Farul Constanta / FT Farul Constanta ✓37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Farul Constanta – last 6

LWLWDD
17 Oct@ Universitatea Craiova0–2L
11 Octvs Petrolul Ploiesti3–1W
20 Sep@ Dinamo Bucuresti0–4L
11 Sepvs Uta Arad4–2W
4 Sep@ CFR 1907 Cluj0–0D
30 Augvs FC Botosani0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Oţelul – last 6

DLLLLD
16 Octvs Csikszereda1–1D
10 Oct@ FCSB0–1L
21 Sepvs Corvinul Hunedoara2–3L
14 Sep@ Universitatea Cluj0–3L
6 Sepvs Rapid0–1L
28 Aug@ FC Voluntari2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026Farul Constanta v Oţelul0–0
Farul Constanta vs Oţelul head-to-head page →

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitatea Craiova151032+2433
2Dinamo Bucuresti151032+2133
3Rapid15942+1031
4Petrolul Ploiesti15834+227
5Universitatea Cluj15825+626
6Farul Constanta15663+224
7Corvinul Hunedoara15645+122
8FCSB15636-121
9CFR 1907 Cluj15546-119
10Uta Arad15537-418
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe15465-918
12FC Botosani15366-115
13Arges Pitesti15438-715
14Oţelul15276-613
15FC Voluntari152211-188
16Csikszereda151311-196

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?

Our pick is Farul Constanta or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?

On our numbers Farul Constanta have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oţelul 16%.

How many goals will there be in Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?

Our predicted score is Farul Constanta 1–0 Oţelul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Farul Constanta vs Oţelul?

Farul Constanta vs Oţelul (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Viitorul.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.